705
ABPZ20 KNHC 161138
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE SEP 16 2025
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM MARIO, LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO (EP96):
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES OFF THE COAST
OF SOUTHERN MEXICO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A BROAD AREA OF DISORGANIZED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR
CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM, AND A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM DURING THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PART OF
THIS WEEK AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH OVER THE
CENTRAL EAST PACIFIC.
*FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.
*FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...80 PERCENT.
FORECASTER KELLY
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