219
ABNT20 KNHC 161754
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
200 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF AMERICA:
CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC (AL92):
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND THE
CABO VERDE ISLANDS HAVE BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED SINCE YESTERDAY.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT,
AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR STORM IS LIKELY TO FORM IN THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OR NORTHWESTWARD
AT 10 TO 15 MPH OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC. ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM, INCLUDING GALE WARNINGS, CAN BE FOUND IN
HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC:
A TROPICAL WAVE JUST OFFSHORE OF THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA IS
PRODUCING AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME
SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE TOWARDS THE LATTER
PART OF THIS WEEK AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH, MOVING FROM
THE EASTERN TO CENTRAL PORTION OF THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...20 PERCENT.
HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
CAN BE FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1, WMO HEADER FZNT01
KWBC, AND ONLINE AT OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/SHTML/NFDHSFAT1.PHP
FORECASTER CHENARD/BLAKE
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