965
ABPZ20 KNHC 162307
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT TUE SEP 16 2025
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION MARIO, LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN
TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO (EP96):
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES OFF THE COAST OF
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO HAVE BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED OVER THE PAST
SEVERAL HOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS
LIKELY TO FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH OVER THE CENTRAL EAST PACIFIC.
*FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
*FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
FORECASTER HAGEN
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