100  
ABPZ20 KNHC 171129  
TWOEP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
500 AM PDT WED SEP 17 2025  
 
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:  
 
OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO (EP96):  
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES OFF THE  
COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR  
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS BROAD SYSTEM, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION  
IS LIKELY TO FORM IN A COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE IT MOVES  
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH OVER THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE  
EAST PACIFIC.  
*FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.  
*FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER KELLY  
 
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