398
WTPZ24 KNHC 220231
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM NARDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142025
0300 UTC MON SEP 22 2025
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 100.5W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 100.5W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 100.1W
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 15.9N 101.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 16.3N 103.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 16.5N 105.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 16.4N 107.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.5N 109.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 16.6N 112.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 16.9N 116.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 90NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 17.7N 121.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 100NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 100.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
FORECASTER PASCH
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