491
WTPZ24 KNHC 220852
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM NARDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142025
0900 UTC MON SEP 22 2025
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 101.5W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 101.5W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 101.0W
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 16.0N 103.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 16.3N 105.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.2N 107.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 25NE 10SE 10SW 25NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.2N 109.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 16.2N 112.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 35NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 16.2N 114.6W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 35SW 45NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 16.6N 119.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 17.8N 122.9W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 101.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
FORECASTER JELSEMA (CPHC)
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