384  
WTPZ24 KNHC 222033  
TCMEP4  
 
TROPICAL STORM NARDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142025  
2100 UTC MON SEP 22 2025  
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 103.9W AT 22/2100Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.  
50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.  
34 KT....... 60NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.  
4 M SEAS.... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 103.9W AT 22/2100Z  
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 103.3W  
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 16.3N 105.6W  
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.  
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.  
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.3N 107.8W  
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.  
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.  
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.  
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.3N 110.1W  
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.  
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.  
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 16.2N 112.7W  
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.  
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.  
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 16.1N 115.1W  
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.  
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.  
34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.2N 117.5W  
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.  
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.  
34 KT...110NE 100SE 90SW 110NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 17.0N 122.2W  
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.  
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.  
34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 110NW.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 18.5N 125.0W  
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.  
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.  
34 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 110NW.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 103.9W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z  
 

 
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI  
 
 
 
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