153  
WTPZ24 KNHC 231437  
TCMEP4  
 
HURRICANE NARDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142025  
1500 UTC TUE SEP 23 2025  
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 107.3W AT 23/1500Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 11 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.  
64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.  
50 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.  
34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.  
4 M SEAS.... 75NE 45SE 30SW 60NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 107.3W AT 23/1500Z  
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 106.8W  
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 15.6N 108.9W  
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.  
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.  
50 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 35NW.  
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 60SW 60NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.5N 111.0W  
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.  
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.  
50 KT... 40NE 35SE 35SW 40NW.  
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.5N 113.4W  
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.  
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 40NE 35SE 35SW 40NW.  
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.7N 115.7W  
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.  
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 40NE 35SE 35SW 40NW.  
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 80SW 90NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.1N 118.1W  
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.  
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 45NW.  
34 KT...110NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 16.8N 120.3W  
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.  
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 45NW.  
34 KT...110NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 18.4N 123.1W  
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 45NW.  
34 KT...110NE 100SE 90SW 110NW.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 20.3N 123.7W  
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.  
34 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 80NW.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 107.3W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z  
 
 
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI  
 
 
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