465
WTPZ24 KNHC 240251
TCMEP4
HURRICANE NARDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142025
0300 UTC WED SEP 24 2025
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 109.4W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 80SE 70SW 70NW.
4 M SEAS.... 75NE 90SE 60SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 109.4W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 108.8W
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.2N 111.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.
34 KT... 60NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.2N 113.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.
34 KT... 70NE 90SE 80SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.4N 115.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 35SW 35NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 15.8N 118.1W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 35SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 16.3N 120.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 45NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 110SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.1N 121.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 110SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 19.0N 123.4W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 45NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 90SW 90NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 21.5N 123.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 109.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z
FORECASTER JELSEMA (CPHC)
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