713  
WTPZ24 KNHC 240839  
TCMEP4  
 
HURRICANE NARDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142025  
0900 UTC WED SEP 24 2025  
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 110.5W AT 24/0900Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 11 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.  
64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.  
50 KT....... 35NE 40SE 40SW 35NW.  
34 KT....... 70NE 80SE 80SW 70NW.  
4 M SEAS....105NE 105SE 75SW 90NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 110.5W AT 24/0900Z  
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 109.9W  
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.1N 112.2W  
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.  
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 35NE 40SE 40SW 35NW.  
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 90SW 80NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 15.2N 114.5W  
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.  
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 35NW.  
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 110SW 90NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 15.5N 116.9W  
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.  
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 35NW.  
34 KT...120NE 130SE 120SW 120NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 15.9N 119.5W  
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.  
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.  
34 KT...120NE 130SE 120SW 120NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 16.6N 121.7W  
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.  
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.  
34 KT...130NE 130SE 120SW 120NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.6N 123.3W  
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.  
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.  
34 KT...130NE 130SE 120SW 120NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 19.4N 124.3W  
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.  
50 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW.  
34 KT...100NE 110SE 90SW 90NW.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 21.8N 123.8W...POST-TROPICAL  
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.  
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 110.5W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z  
 

 
FORECASTER JELSEMA (CPHC)  
 
 
 
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