323  
WTPZ24 KNHC 241450  
TCMEP4  
 
HURRICANE NARDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142025  
1500 UTC WED SEP 24 2025  
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 111.7W AT 24/1500Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 11 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.  
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.  
50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.  
34 KT....... 70NE 80SE 90SW 100NW.  
4 M SEAS....105NE 105SE 75SW 90NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 111.7W AT 24/1500Z  
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 111.1W  
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.1N 113.4W  
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.  
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 35NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.  
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 90SW 100NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.4N 115.8W  
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.  
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.  
34 KT... 90NE 110SE 110SW 100NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 15.8N 118.3W  
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.  
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.  
34 KT...110NE 130SE 120SW 110NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 16.2N 120.8W  
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.  
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.  
34 KT...120NE 130SE 120SW 110NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.0N 122.9W  
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.  
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.  
34 KT...120NE 130SE 110SW 110NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.7N 124.2W  
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.  
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.  
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 19.7N 124.6W  
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.  
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.  
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 90SW 80NW.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 21.8N 123.8W...POST-TROPICAL  
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.  
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 111.7W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z  
 
 
FORECASTER HAGEN  
 
 
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