611  
WTPZ24 KNHC 250838  
TCMEP4  
 
HURRICANE NARDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142025  
0900 UTC THU SEP 25 2025  
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 114.8W AT 25/0900Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.  
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 10SW 15NW.  
50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 20SW 40NW.  
34 KT.......120NE 130SE 110SW 70NW.  
4 M SEAS....225NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 114.8W AT 25/0900Z  
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 114.1W  
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 15.8N 116.8W  
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.  
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 10SW 15NW.  
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 20SW 40NW.  
34 KT...120NE 130SE 110SW 80NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 16.3N 119.5W  
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.  
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 15SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.  
34 KT...120NE 140SE 110SW 100NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 17.0N 122.0W  
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.  
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 25NW.  
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.  
34 KT...120NE 130SE 100SW 100NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.5N 124.0W  
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.  
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 25NW.  
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.  
34 KT...120NE 130SE 100SW 100NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.2N 125.3W  
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.  
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.  
34 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 90NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 19.2N 125.8W  
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.  
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 10NW.  
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.  
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 21.2N 125.6W  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 23.0N 124.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 114.8W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z  
 

 
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)  
 
 
 
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