957  
WTPZ24 KNHC 251439  
TCMEP4  
 
HURRICANE NARDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142025  
1500 UTC THU SEP 25 2025  
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 116.6W AT 25/1500Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.  
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 10SW 15NW.  
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.  
34 KT.......120NE 130SE 100SW 80NW.  
4 M SEAS....240NE 210SE 120SW 180NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 116.6W AT 25/1500Z  
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 115.9W  
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.3N 118.6W  
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.  
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 10SW 15NW.  
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.  
34 KT...120NE 130SE 100SW 80NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 16.8N 121.3W  
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.  
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.  
34 KT...120NE 140SE 80SW 100NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.3N 123.7W  
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.  
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 25NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.  
34 KT...120NE 130SE 90SW 100NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.0N 125.5W  
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.  
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 25NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.  
34 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 100NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.9N 126.5W  
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.  
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.  
34 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 90NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 19.9N 127.0W  
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.  
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.  
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 22.0N 126.4W  
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.  
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 23.3N 125.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 116.6W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z  
 
 
FORECASTER ROBERTS  
 
 
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