085  
FONT14 KNHC 280251  
PWSAT4  
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092025  
0300 UTC SUN SEP 28 2025  
 
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED  
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.  
 
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)  
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
 
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS  
 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST  
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS  
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE  
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING  
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)  
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN  
00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)  
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN  
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY  
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
LOCATION KT  
 
WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)  
 
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)  
 
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)  
 
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 5(18)  
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)  
 
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)  
 
CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8)  
 
NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9)  
 
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 9(18) 3(21)  
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)  
 
SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 7(20) 3(23)  
SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)  
 
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) 1(11)  
 
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 17(19) 8(27) 3(30)  
BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)  
BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)  
 
FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6)  
 
COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)  
 
LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 7(24) 2(26)  
LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)  
 
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) 6(24) 2(26)  
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)  
 
GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 4(11) 1(12)  
 
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 17(22) 5(27) 2(29)  
CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)  
 
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 16(21) 4(25) 1(26)  
 
AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)  
 
SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9)  
 
KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 15(25) 3(28) X(28)  
KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) 1( 6)  
 
MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 17(29) 2(31) 1(32)  
MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)  
 
JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 1(10) X(10)  
 
GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) 1( 7)  
 
DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 8(15) 1(16) 1(17)  
 
THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)  
 
ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) 1(12) X(12)  
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34 X 1( 1) 11(12) 19(31) 10(41) 2(43) X(43)  
COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)  
COCOA BEACH FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)  
 
PATRICK AFB 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 20(31) 10(41) 2(43) X(43)  
PATRICK AFB 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)  
PATRICK AFB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)  
 
FT PIERCE FL 34 X 1( 1) 16(17) 15(32) 8(40) 1(41) 1(42)  
FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)  
FT PIERCE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)  
 
W PALM BEACH 34 X 2( 2) 15(17) 9(26) 6(32) 2(34) X(34)  
W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)  
 
FT LAUDERDALE 34 X 3( 3) 9(12) 7(19) 5(24) 1(25) X(25)  
 
MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)  
 
HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)  
 
MARATHON FL 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)  
 
KEY WEST FL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)  
 
NAPLES FL 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11)  
 
FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
VENICE FL 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11)  
 
TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 5(13) 1(14) X(14)  
 
CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 6(11) 1(12) X(12)  
 
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)  
 
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X 18(18) 43(61) 5(66) 3(69) 1(70) X(70)  
GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) 19(19) 3(22) X(22) 1(23) X(23)  
GRAND BAHAMA 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 2 71(73) 4(77) 1(78) 1(79) 1(80) X(80)  
NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X 15(15) 5(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)  
NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
ANDROS 34 11 33(44) 2(46) 1(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)  
ANDROS 50 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
GREAT EXUMA 34 7 5(12) 2(14) 1(15) X(15) 1(16) X(16)  
 
SAN SALVADOR 34 1 3( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10)  
 

 
FORECASTER PAPIN  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab TPC Page Main Text Page