470
WTPZ44 KNHC 281437
TCDEP4
TROPICAL STORM NARDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142025
800 AM PDT SUN SEP 28 2025
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH NARDA CONTINUES TO DIMINISH IN COVERAGE
AND ORGANIZATION THIS MORNING. SUBJECTIVE AND OBJECTIVE SATELLITE
INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE DECREASING, AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
LOWERED TO 45 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY. THIS IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT
WITH THE LATEST UW-CIMSS OBJECTIVE ESTIMATES AND CONSISTENT WITH
THE OVERNIGHT SCATTEROMETER DATA.
CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS NARDA REMAINS OVER COOLER WATERS
WITHIN A DRIER, STABLE ENVIRONMENT. THIS FORECAST INDICATES THAT
NARDA COULD BECOME POST-TROPICAL LATER TODAY OR EARLY MONDAY. THE
STORM IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT ABOUT 5 KT. A SLOW NORTHWARD OR
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO,
FOLLOWED BY A NORTHWESTWARD TURN AS THE REMNANT LOW BECOMES STEERED
BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW. THE REMNANT LOW IS FORECAST TO DEGENERATE TO
A SURFACE TROUGH LATER THIS WEEK. NO NOTABLE CHANGES WERE MADE TO
THE NHC TRACK OR INTENSITY FORECASTS.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 28/1500Z 19.7N 125.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 29/0000Z 20.4N 125.2W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
24H 29/1200Z 21.2N 124.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 30/0000Z 21.6N 124.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 30/1200Z 22.0N 124.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 01/0000Z 22.4N 125.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 01/1200Z 23.1N 126.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED
FORECASTER REINHART
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