169  
WTNT24 KNHC 301452  
TCMAT4  
 
HURRICANE IMELDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092025  
1500 UTC TUE SEP 30 2025  
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 76.6W AT 30/1500Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 6 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.  
64 KT....... 40NE 30SE 40SW 0NW.  
50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 70SW 80NW.  
34 KT.......140NE 90SE 100SW 160NW.  
4 M SEAS....240NE 270SE 120SW 180NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 76.6W AT 30/1500Z  
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 76.9W  
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 29.8N 74.6W  
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.  
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.  
34 KT...150NE 130SE 110SW 160NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 31.0N 71.0W  
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.  
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.  
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 80SW 90NW.  
34 KT...150NE 170SE 130SW 180NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 32.6N 65.2W  
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.  
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 50SW 50NW.  
50 KT... 70NE 80SE 80SW 90NW.  
34 KT...150NE 190SE 150SW 240NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 34.3N 60.0W  
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.  
64 KT... 40NE 50SE 60SW 60NW.  
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 90SW 100NW.  
34 KT...250NE 230SE 200SW 290NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 36.7N 53.9W...POST-TROPICAL  
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.  
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 50SW 50NW.  
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 100SW 100NW.  
34 KT...270NE 230SE 200SW 300NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 39.3N 50.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP  
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.  
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 100SW 100NW.  
34 KT...360NE 250SE 250SW 300NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 43.6N 46.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP  
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.  
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 80SW 50NW.  
34 KT...250NE 200SE 200SW 200NW.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 50.5N 37.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP  
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.  
34 KT...150NE 200SE 250SW 120NW.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.1N 76.6W  
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 30/1800Z  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z  
 
 
FORECASTER PASCH  
 
 
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