646
WTNT34 KNHC 301733
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IMELDA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092025
200 PM EDT TUE SEP 30 2025
..IMELDA A LITTLE STRONGER
SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.2N 75.9W
ABOUT 690 MI...1115 KM WSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IMELDA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 75.9 WEST. IMELDA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH (19 KM/H). A GENERALLY
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF THE
HURRICANE SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE BAHAMAS TODAY, AND
WILL APPROACH BERMUDA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH (140 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES (75 KM) FROM
THE CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES (295 KM).
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIR FORCE HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT OBSERVATIONS IS 979 MB (28.91 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR HURRICANE IMELDA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDAT4 AND WMO HEADER
WTNT44 KNHC.
WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER BERMUDA BY WEDNESDAY
EVENING, WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS LIKELY BY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.
RAINFALL: ACROSS BERMUDA, 2 TO 4 INCHES (50 TO 100 MM) OF RAINFALL
ARE EXPECTED FROM WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY, WHICH COULD LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING.
STORM SURGE: IN BERMUDA, A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS. THE SURGE WILL
BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DAMAGING WAVES.
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE IMELDA AND HURRICANE HUMBERTO
ARE AFFECTING THE BAHAMAS AND ARE CURRENTLY SPREADING TO MUCH OF THE
U.S. EAST COAST. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
A DEPICTION OF RIP CURRENT RISK FOR THE UNITED STATES CAN BE FOUND
AT: HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_AT4.SHTML?RIPCURRENTS
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM EDT.
FORECASTER PASCH
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