879  
WTPZ25 KNHC 302041  
TCMEP5  
 
TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152025  
2100 UTC TUE SEP 30 2025  
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 113.9W AT 30/2100Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 5 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.  
34 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.  
4 M SEAS.... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 113.9W AT 30/2100Z  
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.9N 113.7W  
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 10.8N 114.0W  
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.  
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 12.0N 114.5W  
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.  
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 12.6N 115.3W  
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.  
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 13.0N 116.6W  
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.  
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 13.6N 117.9W  
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.  
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 14.0N 119.3W  
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.  
50 KT... 0NE 15SE 20SW 15NW.  
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 14.5N 120.7W  
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.  
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 25SW 20NW.  
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 15.5N 121.0W  
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.  
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.  
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.2N 113.9W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z  
 
 
FORECASTER PAPIN  
 
 
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