138  
WTPZ25 KNHC 010852  
TCMEP5  
 
TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152025  
0900 UTC WED OCT 01 2025  
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 114.8W AT 01/0900Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 6 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.  
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.  
34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.  
4 M SEAS.... 75NE 45SE 0SW 0NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 114.8W AT 01/0900Z  
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 114.6W  
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 11.8N 115.2W  
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.  
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.  
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 12.5N 116.2W  
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.  
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.  
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 13.0N 117.4W  
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.  
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.  
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 13.4N 118.6W  
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.  
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.  
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 13.8N 120.1W  
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.  
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.  
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 14.3N 121.2W  
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.  
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.  
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 15.3N 122.4W  
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.  
50 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW.  
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 16.0N 121.4W  
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.  
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.  
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.1N 114.8W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z  
 
 
FORECASTER JELSEMA (CPHC)  
 
 
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