094
WTNT34 KNHC 010853
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IMELDA ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092025
500 AM EDT WED OCT 01 2025
...IMELDA FORECAST TO BRING HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS, DAMAGING
WAVES AND FLASH FLOODING TO BERMUDA LATE TODAY...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.2N 72.1W
ABOUT 455 MI...730 KM WSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IMELDA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 72.1 WEST. IMELDA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH (31 KM/H). A MUCH FASTER
EAST-NORTHEAST TO NORTHEAST MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE
NEAR BERMUDA THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING AND MOVE AWAY FROM THE ISLAND
BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH (150 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IMELDA IS
EXPECTED TO BE STRONGER, NEAR CATEGORY 2 STRENGTH, WHEN IT PASSES
CLOSE TO BERMUDA LATE TODAY. IMELDA IS THEN EXPECTED TO BECOME AN
EXTRATROPICAL LOW IN A COUPLE OF DAYS, WITH GRADUAL WEAKENING
THEREAFTER.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES (95 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES
(370 KM).
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 974 MB (28.77 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR HURRICANE IMELDA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDAT4 AND WMO HEADER
WTNT44 KNHC.
WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER BERMUDA BY THIS
EVENING, WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS LIKELY BY THIS AFTERNOON.
RAINFALL: ACROSS BERMUDA, 2 TO 4 INCHES (50 TO 100 MM) OF RAINFALL
ARE EXPECTED FROM LATER TODAY INTO THURSDAY, WHICH COULD LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING.
STORM SURGE: IN BERMUDA, A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS. THE SURGE WILL
BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DAMAGING WAVES.
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE IMELDA AND HURRICANE HUMBERTO
ARE AFFECTING THE BAHAMAS, BERMUDA, AND MUCH OF THE U.S. EAST COAST.
THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.
A DEPICTION OF RIP CURRENT RISK FOR THE UNITED STATES CAN BE FOUND
AT: HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_AT4.SHTML?RIPCURRENTS
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 800 AM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM EDT.
FORECASTER BLAKE
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