167  
ABPZ20 KNHC 011144  
TWOEP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
500 AM PDT WED OCT 1 2025  
 
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:  
 
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:  
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL  
STORM OCTAVE, LOCATED WELL SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF  
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.  
 
OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO:  
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO FORM WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF  
DISTURBED WEATHER OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO IN A COUPLE  
OF DAYS. THEREAFTER, ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE  
CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL  
LIKELY FORM LATE THIS WEEK OR THIS WEEKEND WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES  
GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD, PARALLEL TO BUT OFFSHORE OF THE  
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...80 PERCENT.  
 
 
FORECASTER PASCH  
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