415
ABPZ20 KNHC 012303
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED OCT 1 2025
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM OCTAVE, LOCATED WELL SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO:
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS A FEW HUNDRED MILES OFF THE COAST OF
SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION WILL LIKELY FORM ON FRIDAY OR OVER THE WEEKEND WHILE THE
SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD, PARALLEL TO BUT OFFSHORE
OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO. INTERESTS IN SOUTHWESTERN
MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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