302  
ABPZ20 KNHC 020537  
TWOEP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
1100 PM PDT WED OCT 1 2025  
 
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:  
 
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:  
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL  
STORM OCTAVE, LOCATED WELL SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF  
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.  
 
OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO:  
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES OFF THE COAST  
OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF  
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS  
APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION  
IS LIKELY TO FORM FRIDAY NIGHT OR OVER THE WEEKEND WHILE THE SYSTEM  
MOVES GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD, REMAINING PARALLEL TO BUT  
OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO. INTERESTS ALONG THE  
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF  
THIS SYSTEM.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.  
 
 
FORECASTER JELSEMA  
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