807
WTPZ25 KNHC 020849
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152025
0900 UTC THU OCT 02 2025
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 117.9W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE 75SE 45SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 117.9W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 117.5W
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 12.3N 118.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 12.8N 119.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 13.3N 121.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 13.9N 122.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.4N 123.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 14.9N 124.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 15.6N 123.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 15.6N 121.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 117.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
FORECASTER JELSEMA (CPHC)
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