481  
ABPZ20 KNHC 021724  
TWOEP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
1100 AM PDT THU OCT 2 2025  
 
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:  
 
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:  
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL  
STORM OCTAVE, LOCATED WELL SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA  
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.  
 
OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO:  
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A  
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES OFF THE COAST OF  
SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR  
CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS  
LIKELY TO FORM BY THE WEEKEND WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY  
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD, REMAINING PARALLEL TO BUT OFFSHORE OF THE  
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO. INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST  
OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.  
 
 
FORECASTER REINHART  
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