807
WTPZ25 KNHC 022038
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152025
2100 UTC THU OCT 02 2025
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 119.0W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE 75SE 45SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 119.0W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 118.7W
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 13.0N 119.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 13.5N 121.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 14.0N 122.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.6N 123.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.0N 123.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.3N 123.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 15.5N 123.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 15.7N 120.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 119.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
FORECASTER PASCH
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