822
WTPZ25 KNHC 032034
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152025
2100 UTC FRI OCT 03 2025
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 121.7W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 40SE 0SW 60NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE 75SE 45SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 121.7W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 121.4W
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 14.1N 122.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.7N 123.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.2N 124.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.6N 123.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 15.7N 123.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 15.7N 122.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 15.2N 120.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 15.0N 118.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 121.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY
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