192
FZPN03 KNHC 032116
HSFEP2
HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC FRI OCT 03 2025
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
SECURITE
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI OCT 03.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT OCT 04.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN OCT 05.
.WARNINGS.
..TROPICAL STORM WARNING
.TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE NEAR 13.7N 121.7W 1000 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 03
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS
60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM
SE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM
NW AND SE QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 45 NM SW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE
QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 09N TO 16N BETWEEN 115W AND 120W...AND
FROM 10N TO 20N BETWEEN 120W AND 124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5
TO 3 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE NEAR 14.7N 123.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 60 NM
SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 6 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 09N TO 20N BETWEEN
118W AND 128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE NEAR 15.6N 123.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...40 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM
OF CENTER...EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 6 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 120 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 09N TO 20N BETWEEN
120W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
..GALE WARNING
.LOW PRES NEAR 13N104.5W 1007 MB. FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 97W AND
105W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 M. FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN
101W AND 108W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M.
24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE
NEAR
14.5N106W 1004 MB. WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 45 NM W SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 N AND 210 S
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M.
48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE
NEAR
15N106.5W 1000 MB. WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 N
AND 240 S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.N OF 25N E OF 117W NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 M. ELSEWHERE N OF
23N BETWEEN 115W AND 122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN
NW SWELL.
24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 21N TO 27N BETWEEN 113W AND 120W
AND N OF
27N BETWEEN 117W AND 122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 M IN NW
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 21N TO 24N BETWEEN 113W AND 115W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS TO 2.5 M IN NW SWELL.
N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 96W
INCLUDING THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC FRI OCT 3...
T.S. OCTAVE
NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM SW
SEMICIRCLE.
LOW PRES NEAR 13N104.5W (EP99)
NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 105W AND 108W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OBSERVED ELSEWHERE FROM
12N TO 16N BETWEEN 100W AND 110W.
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 11N85W TO A 1007 MB LOW PRES LOCATED
NEAR 13N104.5W...THEN RESUMES SW OF TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE FROM
11N123W TO 08N132W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 08N132W TO BEYOND
09N140W. ASIDE FROM THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH OCTAVE AND THE
LOW PRESSURE, SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION CAN
BE FOUND FROM 04N TO 10N E OF 88W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA...FROM
08N TO 14N BETWEEN 92W AND 100W...AND FROM 19N TO 22N BETWEEN 105W
AND 108W.
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
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