743
ABPZ20 KNHC 040535
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT FRI OCT 3 2025
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM OCTAVE, LOCATED IN THE EAST PACIFIC, WELL TO THE
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO (EP99):
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE A FEW HUNDRED MILES OFF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO
CONTINUE TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED THIS EVENING. HOWEVER, RECENT
SATELLITE-DERIVED WIND DATA DEPICT A CIRCULATION THAT REMAINS
SOMEWHAT BROAD, BUT IF CURRENT TRENDS PERSIST, ADVISORIES ON A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD BE INITIATED ON SATURDAY. THE SYSTEM IS
FORECAST TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD, REMAINING OFFSHORE
OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION,
PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
SOUTH OF SOUTHERN MEXICO:
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO FORM OFF THE SOUTHERN COAST
OF MEXICO BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE THEREAFTER, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM
DURING THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK WHILE MOVING
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD, NEAR OR PARALLEL TO THE COAST
OF MEXICO.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.
HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI, WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC, AND ON
THE WEB AT OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/SHTML/NFDHSFEPI.PHP
FORECASTER GIBBS
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page