175
ABPZ20 KNHC 041730
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SAT OCT 4 2025
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM OCTAVE, LOCATED IN THE EAST PACIFIC, WELL TO THE
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO (EP99):
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE A FEW
HUNDRED MILES OFF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO CONTINUES TO
BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED, AND IT APPEARS THAT A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
MAY BE FORMING. IF CURRENT TRENDS PERSIST, ADVISORIES ON A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION WILL BE INITIATED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. THE SYSTEM IS
FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD, REMAINING OFFSHORE OF
THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION,
INCLUDING GALE WARNINGS, PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...NEAR 100 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...NEAR 100 PERCENT.
SOUTH OF SOUTHERN MEXICO:
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO FORM OFF THE SOUTHERN COAST
OF MEXICO BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS LIKELY THEREAFTER, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM
DURING THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK WHILE MOVING
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD, NEAR OR PARALLEL TO THE COAST
OF MEXICO.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.
HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI, WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC, AND ON
THE WEB AT OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/SHTML/NFDHSFEPI.PHP
FORECASTER HOGSETT
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