631
WTPZ25 KNHC 042039
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152025
2100 UTC SAT OCT 04 2025
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 123.9W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE 75SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 123.9W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 123.8W
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.3N 124.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.7N 123.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 15.9N 122.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 10NE 20SE 10SW 10NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 16.0N 121.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 15.8N 120.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 15.5N 119.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 15.3N 116.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 123.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
FORECASTER HOGSETT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page