431
WTPZ21 KNHC 050244
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162025
0300 UTC SUN OCT 05 2025
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 106.7W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 3 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 0SE 60SW 90NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE 75SE 75SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 106.7W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 106.6W
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 16.0N 106.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...160NE 70SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.6N 107.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT...200NE 110SE 120SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 17.4N 107.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...200NE 120SE 130SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 18.4N 108.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 30SE 20SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...190NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 19.3N 110.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT...170NE 110SE 110SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.2N 111.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 110SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 22.3N 114.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 110NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 24.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 70SW 90NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 106.7W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 05/0600Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
FORECASTER REINHART
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