982  
WTPZ21 KNHC 060841  
TCMEP1  
 
HURRICANE PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162025  
0900 UTC MON OCT 06 2025  
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 107.3W AT 06/0900Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 4 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.  
64 KT....... 0NE 35SE 0SW 0NW.  
50 KT....... 40NE 50SE 40SW 0NW.  
34 KT.......170NE 140SE 110SW 120NW.  
4 M SEAS....210NE 330SE 210SW 180NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 107.3W AT 06/0900Z  
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 107.2W  
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 17.9N 107.9W  
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.  
64 KT... 20NE 25SE 20SW 15NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 55SE 45SW 30NW.  
34 KT...170NE 140SE 120SW 130NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 18.8N 109.0W  
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.  
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.  
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 35NW.  
34 KT...160NE 130SE 120SW 130NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 19.7N 110.2W  
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.  
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 25NW.  
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.  
34 KT...150NE 130SE 110SW 120NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.7N 111.7W  
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.  
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 25NW.  
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 55SW 50NW.  
34 KT...130NE 120SE 110SW 110NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.7N 113.0W  
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.  
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 30NW.  
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.  
34 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 22.8N 114.2W  
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.  
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW.  
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.  
34 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 100NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 25.3N 116.0W  
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.  
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.  
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 26.5N 116.4W...POST-TROPICAL  
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.  
34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 70NW.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 107.3W  
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 06/1200Z  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z  
 

 
FORECASTER PASCH  
 
 
 
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