686
ABNT20 KNHC 061117
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON OCT 6 2025
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF AMERICA:
CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC (AL95):
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LATITUDE TROPICAL
WAVE CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE TROPICAL CENTRAL ATLANTIC. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR GENERALLY CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM WITHIN THE
NEXT FEW DAYS WHILE IT MOVES QUICKLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE
CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC, APPROACHING THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
BY THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK. INTERESTS THERE SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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