445  
WTPZ21 KNHC 061447  
TCMEP1  
 
HURRICANE PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162025  
1500 UTC MON OCT 06 2025  
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 107.4W AT 06/1500Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 4 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.  
64 KT....... 0NE 45SE 0SW 0NW.  
50 KT....... 50NE 60SE 60SW 0NW.  
34 KT.......180NE 140SE 130SW 150NW.  
4 M SEAS....240NE 360SE 240SW 150NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 107.4W AT 06/1500Z  
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 107.3W  
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 18.3N 108.3W  
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.  
64 KT... 20NE 40SE 15SW 0NW.  
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 30NW.  
34 KT...180NE 140SE 130SW 140NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 19.3N 109.5W  
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.  
64 KT... 25NE 40SE 20SW 15NW.  
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.  
34 KT...170NE 130SE 120SW 140NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.2N 110.9W  
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.  
64 KT... 35NE 45SE 30SW 25NW.  
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.  
34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.2N 112.3W  
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.  
64 KT... 35NE 45SE 35SW 30NW.  
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.  
34 KT...130NE 120SE 110SW 120NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.3N 113.5W  
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.  
64 KT... 30NE 35SE 25SW 25NW.  
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.  
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 23.4N 114.6W  
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.  
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.  
34 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 100NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 25.7N 115.7W  
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.  
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 27.5N 115.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 107.4W  
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 06/1800Z  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z  
 
 
FORECASTER HAGEN  
 
 
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