527  
FOPZ15 KNHC 062035  
PWSEP5  
 
TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 27  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152025  
2100 UTC MON OCT 06 2025  
 
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 121.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED  
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.  
 
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)  
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
 
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS  
 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST  
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS  
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE  
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING  
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)  
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN  
18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)  
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN  
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY  
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
LOCATION KT  
 
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
15N 115W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 3(21) X(21) X(21)  
15N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
15N 120W 34 23 12(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)  
15N 120W 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 

 
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI  
 
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