431
ABPZ20 KNHC 062316
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT MON OCT 6 2025
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM OCTAVE, LOCATED WELL TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, AND ON HURRICANE PRISCILLA,
LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES OFFSHORE OF WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO.
SOUTH OF SOUTHERN MEXICO:
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES OFF THE COAST OF
GUATEMALA REMAIN DISORGANIZED. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM
LATER THIS WEEK, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM BY THE
WEEKEND WHILE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH, NEAR OR
PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT,
THIS SYSTEM COULD PRODUCE PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG PORTIONS
OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
FORECASTER GIBBS
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