305  
WTPZ21 KNHC 070244  
TCMEP1  
 
HURRICANE PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162025  
0300 UTC TUE OCT 07 2025  
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 108.5W AT 07/0300Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.  
64 KT....... 40NE 45SE 20SW 0NW.  
50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.  
34 KT.......160NE 140SE 130SW 150NW.  
4 M SEAS....210NE 390SE 240SW 150NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 108.5W AT 07/0300Z  
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 108.2W  
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 19.8N 109.6W  
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.  
64 KT... 45NE 40SE 25SW 25NW.  
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 45SW 40NW.  
34 KT...150NE 130SE 120SW 140NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.7N 110.9W  
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.  
64 KT... 45NE 40SE 25SW 25NW.  
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 45NW.  
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 130NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.6N 112.1W  
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.  
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 30NW.  
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.  
34 KT...130NE 120SE 110SW 120NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.8N 113.4W  
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.  
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 0SW 25NW.  
50 KT... 65NE 55SE 45SW 45NW.  
34 KT...120NE 110SE 90SW 110NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.0N 114.5W  
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.  
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.  
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 25.2N 115.1W  
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.  
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 27.4N 115.3W  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 29.7N 114.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 108.5W  
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 07/0600Z  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z  
 
 
FORECASTER PAPIN  
 
 
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