203
WTPZ21 KNHC 070854
TCMEP1
HURRICANE PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162025
0900 UTC TUE OCT 07 2025
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 109.5W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 967 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 45SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT.......160NE 140SE 130SW 150NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 375SE 210SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 109.5W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 109.0W
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 20.0N 110.4W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 45SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 120SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.9N 111.8W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.9N 113.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 23.0N 114.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 90SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.3N 115.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 25.5N 115.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 27.7N 115.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 30.5N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 109.5W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 07/1200Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z
FORECASTER REINHART
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