263  
ABPZ20 KNHC 071128  
TWOEP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
500 AM PDT TUE OCT 7 2025  
 
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:  
 
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:  
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL  
STORM OCTAVE, LOCATED WELL TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF  
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, AND ON HURRICANE PRISCILLA, LOCATED A  
COUPLE HUNDRED MILES OFFSHORE OF WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO.  
 
SOUTH OF SOUTHERN MEXICO:  
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED IN COVERAGE IN  
ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A SHORT  
DISTANCE OFFSHORE OF GUATEMALA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE  
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS  
SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY  
TO FORM LATE THIS WEEK WHILE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15  
MPH, NEAR OR PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. INTERESTS  
ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF  
THIS SYSTEM. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT, THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO  
PRODUCE PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF GUATEMALA TODAY,  
AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...80 PERCENT.  
 
 
FORECASTER HAGEN  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab TPC Page
Main Text Page