558
WTNT25 KNHC 071434
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025
1500 UTC TUE OCT 07 2025
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 44.6W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 21 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 44.6W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 43.8W
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 12.3N 47.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 13.5N 51.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 40SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 14.9N 54.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 40SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 16.5N 57.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 40SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 18.1N 60.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 50SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 19.8N 61.9W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 60SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 24.4N 63.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 60SW 100NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 29.4N 62.9W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 70SW 80NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.5N 44.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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