035  
FZNT25 KNHC 071448  
OFFN04  
 
NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI, FL  
1048 AM EDT TUE OCT 7 2025  
 
...PLEASE REFER TO COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS (CWF) AVAILABLE  
THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEANS FOR DETAILED  
COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS...  
 
SOUTHEAST GULF OF AMERICA  
   
SYNOPSIS  
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S. WILL BUILD  
MODESTLY ACROSS THE GULF BASIN THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. MODERATE E  
TO SE WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS WILL BECOME MODERATE TO  
LOCALLY FRESH NE TO E THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. A  
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA IS  
PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE OVER THE BAY OF  
CAMPECHE LATER TODAY, AND SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE  
BEFORE IT MOVES INLAND OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO LATE WEDNESDAY OR  
EARLY THURSDAY. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT, SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY ACROSS WATERS  
NORTH OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF  
THROUGH WED NIGHT. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SINK SOUTHWARD  
ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI.  
   
THIS AFTERNOON  
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
TONIGHT  
NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
WED  
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
WED NIGHT  
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
THU  
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
THU NIGHT  
NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
FRI  
NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.    
FRI NIGHT  
N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
SAT  
N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.    
SAT NIGHT  
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.  
 
WITHIN 200 NM EAST OF THE COAST OF FLORIDA  
   
SYNOPSIS  
NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL STORM JERRY IS NEAR 11.5N  
44.6W AT 11 AM EDT, AND IS MOVING WEST AT 21 KT. MAXIMUM  
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT, AND THE MINIMUM  
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. JERRY WILL MOVE TO 12.3N 47.2W  
THIS EVENING, 13.5N 51.1W WED MORNING, STRENGTHEN TO A  
HURRICANE NEAR 14.9N 54.6W WED EVENING, 16.5N 57.6W THU  
MORNING, 18.1N 60.0W THU EVENING, AND 19.8N 61.9W FRI MORNING.  
JERRY WILL CHANGE LITTLE IN INTENSITY AS IT MOVES TO NEAR 24.4N  
63.4W EARLY SAT. ELSEWHERE, ROUGH SEAS IN N TO NE SWELL ACROSS  
THE REGIONAL WATERS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH  
OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT. FRESH TO STRONG NE TO  
E WINDS WILL PREVAIL NORTH OF A STATIONARY FRONT, EXTENDING FROM  
THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 28N55W TO 24N68W THEN THROUGH THE NW  
BAHAMAS, THROUGH LATE TODAY. WINDS WILL DIMINISH MIDWEEK AS THE  
FRONT DRIFTS NORTHWARD AND DISSIPATES.  
   
THIS AFTERNOON  
E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 TO  
4 FT S OF 27N, AND 6 TO 9 FT N OF 27N. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND  
ISOLATED TSTMS.    
TONIGHT  
E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT S OF 27N, AND 6 TO  
8 FT N OF 27N. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
WED  
E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT S OF 27N, AND E 10 TO 15 KT N OF  
27N. SEAS 3 FT S OF 27N, AND 5 TO 7 FT N OF 27N. SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
WED NIGHT  
E TO SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT S OF 27N, AND E 10 TO 15 KT  
N OF 27N. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS S OF 27N, AND 4 TO 6 FT N OF 27N.  
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.    
THU  
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS S OF 27N, AND 3 TO  
5 FT N OF 27N.    
THU NIGHT  
E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS S OF 27N, AND  
5 TO 7 FT N OF 27N.    
FRI  
SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS S OF 27N, AND 5 TO  
7 FT N OF 27N.    
FRI NIGHT  
SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT S OF 27N, AND 5 TO  
7 FT N OF 27N.    
SAT  
W TO NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT S OF 27N, AND  
6 TO 9 FT N OF 27N.    
SAT NIGHT  
NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT S OF 27N, AND  
7 TO 10 FT N OF 27N.  
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