941
ABPZ20 KNHC 071724
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE OCT 7 2025
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM OCTAVE, LOCATED WELL TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, AND ON HURRICANE PRISCILLA, LOCATED A
COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
SOUTH OF SOUTHERN MEXICO (EP90):
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE MAINLY ON THE WEST
SIDE OF A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED LESS THAN ONE HUNDRED
MILES OFFSHORE THE GUATEMALA/MEXICO BORDER. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS, AND A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM LATE THIS WEEK IF THE SYSTEM REMAINS
OVER WATER. THE DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 10 TO 15 MPH, NEAR AND PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.
INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT, THIS SYSTEM IS
LIKELY TO PRODUCE PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST
OF MEXICO THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...80 PERCENT.
FORECASTER HAGEN
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