712
WTNT25 KNHC 072032
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025
2100 UTC TUE OCT 07 2025
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 46.4W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 20 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 90SE 0SW 60NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 46.4W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 45.4W
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 12.8N 49.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 40SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 14.2N 53.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 40SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 15.5N 56.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 50SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 17.2N 59.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 40SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 18.9N 61.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 40SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 21.1N 62.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 40SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 25.8N 63.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 60SW 100NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 30.2N 61.2W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 80SW 80NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 46.4W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 08/0000Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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