990
FZNT25 KNHC 080248
OFFN04
NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI, FL
1048 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2025
...PLEASE REFER TO COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS (CWF) AVAILABLE
THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEANS FOR DETAILED
COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS...
SOUTHEAST GULF OF AMERICA
SYNOPSIS
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S. WILL BUILD
MODESTLY ACROSS THE GULF BASIN THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH NE TO E WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEK. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE WESTERN
YUCATAN PENINSULA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
PORTIONS OF THE GULF. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WESTWARD
AND EMERGE OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE TONIGHT, AND SOME SLOW
DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE BEFORE IT MOVES INLAND OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO
LATE WEDNESDAY OR EARLY THURSDAY. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT,
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY
ACROSS WATERS NORTH OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND ACROSS THE
SOUTHWESTERN GULF THROUGH WED NIGHT. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO
SINK SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI.
OVERNIGHT
E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
WED
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
WED NIGHT
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
THU
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
THU NIGHT
NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
FRI
NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
FRI NIGHT
NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
SAT
N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
SAT NIGHT
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
SUN
NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
SUN NIGHT
NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT.
WITHIN 200 NM EAST OF THE COAST OF FLORIDA
SYNOPSIS
ROUGH SEAS IN N TO NE SWELL ACROSS THE REGIONAL
WATERS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT. FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG
NE TO E WINDS NORTH OF A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE
CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 26N55W TO 23N63W THEN THROUGH THE NW
BAHAMAS WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT THROUGH THU AS THE FRONT DRIFTS
NORTHWARD AND DISSIPATES. TROPICAL STORM JERRY IS NEAR 12.8N
48.7W AT 11 PM EDT, MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 20 KT. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT, AND THE MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. JERRY IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
INTENSIFY, REACHING NEAR 13.6N 51.5W WED MORNING, STRENGTHEN TO
A HURRICANE NEAR 16.5N 58.3W THU MORNING, NEAR 19.8N 62.4W FRI
MORNING, AND NEAR 22.1N 63.3W FRI EVENING. JERRY WILL THEN
CHANGE LITTLE IN INTENSITY AS IT MOVES TO NEAR 26.7N 63.6W SAT
EVENING AND TO NEAR 31.7N 60.1W SUN EVENING.
OVERNIGHT
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
WED
E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED TSTMS.
WED NIGHT
E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT S OF 27N, AND NE TO E
10 TO 15 KT N OF 27N. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED TSTMS.
THU
E TO SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT S OF 27N, AND NE TO E 15 TO 20 KT
N OF 27N. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
THU NIGHT
E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
FRI
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
FRI NIGHT
E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT, SHIFTING TO S TO SW 10 TO
15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
SAT
W WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.
SAT NIGHT
NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT.
SUN
NW TO N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.
SUN NIGHT
N TO NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN NE TO E
SWELL.
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