226
WTPZ21 KNHC 080839
TCMEP1
HURRICANE PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162025
0900 UTC WED OCT 08 2025
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 112.0W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 968 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT.......140NE 130SE 130SW 140NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 270SE 240SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 112.0W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 111.7W
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.8N 113.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 35SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 65NE 55SE 50SW 45NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 22.9N 114.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 45NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.2N 115.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 80SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 25.5N 115.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 26.8N 115.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 27.9N 115.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 112.0W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 08/1200Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
FORECASTER PASCH
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