352
ABPZ20 KNHC 081114
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED OCT 8 2025
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM OCTAVE, LOCATED WELL SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, AND ON HURRICANE PRISCILLA, LOCATED A COUPLE
OF HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
SOUTH OF SOUTHERN MEXICO (EP90):
A LARGE AND PERSISTENT AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAINS
DISORGANIZED NEAR AND TO THE WEST OF A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS,
AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM LATE THIS WEEK IF THE
SYSTEM REMAINS OVER WATER. THE DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH, ROUGHLY PARALLEL TO THE COAST
OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO, AND INTERESTS THERE SHOULD
MONITOR ITS PROGRESS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT, THE DISTURBANCE
IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COASTS OF MEXICO THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK, WHICH COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...80 PERCENT.
FORECASTER HAGEN
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