946
WTNT25 KNHC 081451
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102025
1500 UTC WED OCT 08 2025
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 52.7W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 20 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE 0SW 70NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 240SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 52.7W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 51.6W
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 14.7N 55.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 30SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 16.1N 58.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 30SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 17.9N 60.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 20.0N 61.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 22.5N 62.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 25.1N 62.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 140SE 60SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 29.6N 61.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 150SE 80SW 90NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 32.7N 56.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 120SE 90SW 60NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 52.7W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 08/1800Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
FORECASTER BERG
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