795
WTPZ21 KNHC 081451
TCMEP1
HURRICANE PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162025
1500 UTC WED OCT 08 2025
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 112.5W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 35SE 0SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE 110SW 130NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 240SE 270SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 112.5W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 112.2W
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.2N 113.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 23.3N 114.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 90SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 24.6N 115.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.9N 115.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 26.8N 115.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 27.7N 115.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N 112.5W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 08/1800Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
FORECASTER HAGEN
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