743
ABPZ20 KNHC 081739
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED OCT 8 2025
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM OCTAVE, LOCATED WELL SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, AND ON TROPICAL STORM PRISCILLA, LOCATED A
COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
SOUTH OF SOUTHERN MEXICO (EP90):
A LARGE AND PERSISTENT AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAINS
DISORGANIZED NEAR AND TO THE WEST OF A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED JUST OFFSHORE OF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM
LATE THIS WEEK IF THE SYSTEM REMAINS OVER WATER. THE DISTURBANCE IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH, ROUGHLY
PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO, AND
INTERESTS THERE SHOULD MONITOR ITS PROGRESS. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT, THE DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COASTS OF
MEXICO THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK, WHICH COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED
FLOODING.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...80 PERCENT.
FORECASTER HAGEN
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